{"scenario":{"scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T014-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T014","tax_profile_id":"T10","ncm":"8517.62.77","state":"SP","date":"2026-09-12","mode":"educational","path":"technology_retail_st","origin_scenario":"Representative ordinary non-preferential finished import. No preferential-origin certificate, quota or kit benefit is assumed. Manufacturing country and import-event date are not verified for an individual unit.","imported":true,"zfm_qualified":false,"reference_price_brl":"3299","price_source_id":"V4-P034","price_date":"2026-09-13","full_credit_realization":true,"cbs_ibs_2026_cash_dispensation":true,"calibration_policy":"baseline_ST_base_equals_reference_price","customs_fraction":"0.30","dealer_margin_fraction":"0","assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"educational_ready":true,"actual_sale_verified":false,"confidence":"MEDIUM","warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."],"rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0.20","IPI":"0.15"},"rate_rule_ids":{"ICMS":"R-SP-ICMS-18","PIS_UP":"R-PIS-NC","COFINS_UP":"R-COFINS-NC","II":"R-II-WATCH-LEBIT20","PIS_IMPORT":"R-PIS-IMPORT-STD","COFINS_IMPORT":"R-COFINS-IMPORT-STD","IPI":"R-IPI-WATCH15","IVA":"R-SP-ST-WATCH-IVA51","PIS_RETAIL":"R-PIS-NC","COFINS_RETAIL":"R-COFINS-NC","PIS_CREDIT":"R-PIS-NC","COFINS_CREDIT":"R-COFINS-NC","ICMS_OWN":"R-SP-ICMS-18"},"rate_evidence":{"ICMS":"conditional_sourced_rate","ICMS_OWN":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_UP":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_UP":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_RETAIL":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_RETAIL":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_CREDIT":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_CREDIT":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_IMPORT":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_IMPORT":"conditional_sourced_rate","II":"qualified_secondary_host_normative_row_plus_current_layer_crosscheck","IPI":"primary_amended_TIPI_rate"},"IVA_original":"0.51","IVA_adjusted":false,"cest":"21.127.00","source_ids":["V4-P034","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"calculation_boundary":"One representative manufacturer/importer-to-retailer chain; fixed residual includes upstream resources, margins and any unallocated taxes/charges. Not whole-economy tax-free cost.","education_use_allowed":true,"research_checked_at":"2026-09-13","calibrated":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"1215.795012957097610135329686150302332277","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"724.6144261589403973509933774834437086090","customs_value_brl":"989.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"1899.798445148286783760437661963720126692","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"3299","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"}},"assumption_override":{"assumptionId":"A-CUSTOMS-35","parameter":"customs_fraction","value":"0.30","basis":"package_sensitivity","baselineScenarioId":"EDU-BR-T014"},"sensitivity_fixture":{"product_id":"BR-T014","parameter":"customs_fraction","value":"0.30","method":"Separate baseline calibration against the same reference price; not a tax toggle or probability interval.","status":"feasible","result":{"price_brl":"3299.00","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1358.59","modeled_tax_share_percent":"41.18","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00"},"dimension":"customs_fraction"},"baseline_warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Customs value is 35% of the original reference price by modeling convention, not an observed category average. It remains fixed during tax toggles.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants."],"toggle_cases":[{"engine_version":"0.3.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T014-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T014","tax_profile_id":"T10","date":"2026-09-12","state":"SP","mode":"educational","publication_label":"Estimativa didática — cenário representativo de São Paulo","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":[],"price_brl":"3298.999999999999999999999999999999999999","reference_price_brl":"3299","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000001","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.409439116038007486323063633746040886","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1358.590560883961992513676936366253959112","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"197.9400","IPI":"284.9697667722430175640656492945580190036","ICMS":"593.8199999999999999999999999999999999998","PIS":"50.27787138209041174776849985603224877627","COFINS":"231.5829227296285632018427872156636913331"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"41.18189029657356752087532392744025338322","rounding_policy":"Decimal40 calculation; UI values HALF_UP cents; no NF-e invoice rounding claim","display":{"price_brl":"3299.00","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1358.59","modeled_tax_share_percent":"41.18","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0.20","IPI":"0.15"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"1215.795012957097610135329686150302332277","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"724.6144261589403973509933774834437086090","customs_value_brl":"989.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"1899.798445148286783760437661963720126692","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"3299","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"1899.798445148286783760437661963720126691","supplier_own_ICMS":"341.9637201266916210768787791534696228044","supplier_IPI":"284.9697667722430175640656492945580190036","supplier_PC_base":"1557.834725021595162683558882810250503887","supplier_PIS_debit":"25.70427296285632018427872156636913331414","supplier_COFINS_debit":"118.3954391016412323639504750935790382954","IVA_applied":"0.51","presumed_ST_base":"3298.999999999999999999999999999999999999","ICMS_ST":"251.8562798733083789231212208465303771954","retailer_acquisition_cash":"2436.624491793838180247624532104808522890","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"3047.143720126691621076878779153469622804","retailer_PC_credit_base":"1557.834725021595162683558882810250503887","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"1482.075750","import_ICMS_gross_base":"1807.409451219512195121951219512195121951","import_payments":{"II":"197.9400","IPI":"178.146000","PIS":"20.78370","COFINS":"95.506050","ICMS":"325.3337012195121951219512195121951219512"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"178.146000","PIS":"20.78370","COFINS":"95.506050","ICMS":"325.3337012195121951219512195121951219512"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"106.8237667722430175640656492945580190036","PIS":"4.92057296285632018427872156636913331414","COFINS":"22.8893891016412323639504750935790382954","ICMS":"268.4862987804878048780487804878048780486"},"retailer_debits":{"PIS":"50.27787138209041174776849985603224877627","COFINS":"231.5829227296285632018427872156636913331","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"PIS":"25.70427296285632018427872156636913331414","COFINS":"118.3954391016412323639504750935790382954","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"PIS":"24.57359841923409156348977828966311546213","COFINS":"113.1874836279873308378923121220846530377","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000001"},"assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"source_ids":["V4-P034","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."]},{"engine_version":"0.3.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T014-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T014","tax_profile_id":"T10","date":"2026-09-12","state":"SP","mode":"educational","publication_label":"Estimativa didática — cenário representativo de São Paulo","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":["II"],"price_brl":"2948.896005350827362518553810632020670317","reference_price_brl":"3299","savings_vs_reference_brl":"350.103994649172637481446189367979329683","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.409439116038007486323063633746040886","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1008.486566234789355032230746998274629432","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"0.00","IPI":"245.0705529040712779954302935195126652442","ICMS":"510.6780181415037290868776456359604918359","PIS":"45.08299373645445125593217653412134371677","COFINS":"207.6550014527598966939906313086801286348"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"34.19878369413066718792909356714146672712","rounding_policy":"Decimal40 calculation; UI values HALF_UP cents; no NF-e invoice rounding claim","display":{"price_brl":"2948.90","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1008.49","modeled_tax_share_percent":"34.20","savings_vs_reference_brl":"350.10"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0","IPI":"0.15"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"1215.795012957097610135329686150302332277","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"724.6144261589403973509933774834437086090","customs_value_brl":"989.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"1899.798445148286783760437661963720126692","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"3299","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"1633.803686027141853302868623463417768295","supplier_own_ICMS":"294.0846634848855335945163522234151982931","supplier_IPI":"245.0705529040712779954302935195126652442","supplier_PC_base":"1339.719022542256319708352271240002570002","supplier_PIS_debit":"22.10536387194722927518781247546004240503","supplier_COFINS_debit":"101.8186457132114802978347726142401953202","IVA_applied":"0.51","presumed_ST_base":"2837.100100786131828260431364644224954644","ICMS_ST":"216.5933546566181954923612934125452935428","retailer_acquisition_cash":"2095.467593587831326790660210395475727082","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"2732.302650694209167026192517219475376774","retailer_PC_credit_base":"1339.719022542256319708352271240002570002","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"1254.444750","import_ICMS_gross_base":"1529.810670731707317073170731707317073171","import_payments":{"II":"0.00","IPI":"148.4550","PIS":"20.78370","COFINS":"95.506050","ICMS":"275.3659207317073170731707317073170731707"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"148.4550","PIS":"20.78370","COFINS":"95.506050","ICMS":"275.3659207317073170731707317073170731707"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"96.6155529040712779954302935195126652442","PIS":"1.32166387194722927518781247546004240503","COFINS":"6.3125957132114802978347726142401953202","ICMS":"235.3120974097964120137069139286434186652"},"retailer_debits":{"PIS":"45.08299373645445125593217653412134371677","COFINS":"207.6550014527598966939906313086801286348","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"PIS":"22.10536387194722927518781247546004240503","COFINS":"101.8186457132114802978347726142401953202","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"PIS":"22.97762986450722198074436405866130131174","COFINS":"105.8363557395484163961558586944399333146","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"-0.000000000000000000000000000000000001"},"assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"source_ids":["V4-P034","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."]},{"engine_version":"0.3.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T014-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T014","tax_profile_id":"T10","date":"2026-09-12","state":"SP","mode":"educational","publication_label":"Estimativa didática — cenário representativo de São Paulo","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":["IPI"],"price_brl":"2907.528945465967689353287342974016795444","reference_price_brl":"3299","savings_vs_reference_brl":"391.471054534032310646712657025983204556","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.409439116038007486323063633746040886","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"967.1195063499296818669642793402707545573","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"197.9400","IPI":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"516.3652173913043478260869565217391304345","PIS":"45.09660289532235688296730623249483024893","COFINS":"207.7176860633029771579100165860367938739"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"33.26259254815214738821253511317676380481","rounding_policy":"Decimal40 calculation; UI values HALF_UP cents; no NF-e invoice rounding claim","display":{"price_brl":"2907.53","fixed_residual_brl":"1940.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"967.12","modeled_tax_share_percent":"33.26","savings_vs_reference_brl":"391.47"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0.20","IPI":"0"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"1215.795012957097610135329686150302332277","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"724.6144261589403973509933774834437086090","customs_value_brl":"989.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"1899.798445148286783760437661963720126692","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"3299","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"1899.798445148286783760437661963720126691","supplier_own_ICMS":"341.9637201266916210768787791534696228044","supplier_IPI":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000","supplier_PC_base":"1557.834725021595162683558882810250503887","supplier_PIS_debit":"25.70427296285632018427872156636913331414","supplier_COFINS_debit":"118.3954391016412323639504750935790382954","IVA_applied":"0.51","presumed_ST_base":"2868.695652173913043478260869565217391303","ICMS_ST":"174.4014972646127267492081773682695076301","retailer_acquisition_cash":"2074.199942412899510509645839331989634321","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"2733.127448201354962604079165605747287814","retailer_PC_credit_base":"1557.834725021595162683558882810250503887","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"1303.929750","import_ICMS_gross_base":"1590.158231707317073170731707317073170732","import_payments":{"II":"197.9400","IPI":"0.0000","PIS":"20.78370","COFINS":"95.506050","ICMS":"286.2284817073170731707317073170731707317"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"0.0000","PIS":"20.78370","COFINS":"95.506050","ICMS":"286.2284817073170731707317073170731707317"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000","PIS":"4.92057296285632018427872156636913331414","COFINS":"22.8893891016412323639504750935790382954","ICMS":"230.1367356839872746553552492046659597028"},"retailer_debits":{"PIS":"45.09660289532235688296730623249483024893","COFINS":"207.7176860633029771579100165860367938739","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"PIS":"25.70427296285632018427872156636913331414","COFINS":"118.3954391016412323639504750935790382954","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"PIS":"19.39232993246603669868858466612569693479","COFINS":"89.3222469616617447939595414924577555785","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.0000000000000000000000000000000000007"},"assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"source_ids":["V4-P034","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. 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