{"scenario":{"scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T013-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T013","tax_profile_id":"T10","ncm":"8517.62.77","state":"SP","date":"2026-09-12","mode":"educational","path":"technology_retail_st","origin_scenario":"Representative ordinary non-preferential finished import. No preferential-origin certificate, quota or kit benefit is assumed. Manufacturing country and import-event date are not verified for an individual unit.","imported":true,"zfm_qualified":false,"reference_price_brl":"5499","price_source_id":"V4-P033","price_date":"2025-09-09","full_credit_realization":true,"cbs_ibs_2026_cash_dispensation":true,"calibration_policy":"baseline_ST_base_equals_reference_price","customs_fraction":"0.30","dealer_margin_fraction":"0","assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"educational_ready":true,"actual_sale_verified":false,"confidence":"MEDIUM","warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."],"rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0.20","IPI":"0.15"},"rate_rule_ids":{"ICMS":"R-SP-ICMS-18","PIS_UP":"R-PIS-NC","COFINS_UP":"R-COFINS-NC","II":"R-II-WATCH-LEBIT20","PIS_IMPORT":"R-PIS-IMPORT-STD","COFINS_IMPORT":"R-COFINS-IMPORT-STD","IPI":"R-IPI-WATCH15","IVA":"R-SP-ST-WATCH-IVA51","PIS_RETAIL":"R-PIS-NC","COFINS_RETAIL":"R-COFINS-NC","PIS_CREDIT":"R-PIS-NC","COFINS_CREDIT":"R-COFINS-NC","ICMS_OWN":"R-SP-ICMS-18"},"rate_evidence":{"ICMS":"conditional_sourced_rate","ICMS_OWN":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_UP":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_UP":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_RETAIL":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_RETAIL":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_CREDIT":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_CREDIT":"conditional_sourced_rate","PIS_IMPORT":"conditional_sourced_rate","COFINS_IMPORT":"conditional_sourced_rate","II":"qualified_secondary_host_normative_row_plus_current_layer_crosscheck","IPI":"primary_amended_TIPI_rate"},"IVA_original":"0.51","IVA_adjusted":false,"cest":"21.127.00","source_ids":["V4-P033","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"calculation_boundary":"One representative manufacturer/importer-to-retailer chain; fixed residual includes upstream resources, margins and any unallocated taxes/charges. Not whole-economy tax-free cost.","education_use_allowed":true,"research_checked_at":"2026-09-13","calibrated":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"2026.570711200691045205873884249928016124","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"1207.837141390728476821192052980132450331","customs_value_brl":"1649.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"3166.714655917074575295133890008638065073","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"5499","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"}},"assumption_override":{"assumptionId":"A-CUSTOMS-35","parameter":"customs_fraction","value":"0.30","basis":"package_sensitivity","baselineScenarioId":"EDU-BR-T013"},"sensitivity_fixture":{"product_id":"BR-T013","parameter":"customs_fraction","value":"0.30","method":"Separate baseline calibration against the same reference price; not a tax toggle or probability interval.","status":"feasible","result":{"price_brl":"5499.00","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"2264.59","modeled_tax_share_percent":"41.18","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00"},"dimension":"customs_fraction"},"baseline_warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Customs value is 35% of the original reference price by modeling convention, not an observed category average. It remains fixed during tax toggles.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants."],"toggle_cases":[{"engine_version":"0.3.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T013-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T013","tax_profile_id":"T10","date":"2026-09-12","state":"SP","mode":"educational","publication_label":"Estimativa didática — cenário representativo de São Paulo","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":[],"price_brl":"5499.00000000000000000000000000000000","reference_price_brl":"5499","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.407852591419522027065937230060466455","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"2264.592147408580477972934062769939533544","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"329.9400","IPI":"475.0071983875611862942700835012957097610","ICMS":"989.8199999999999999999999999999999999998","PIS":"83.80661252807371148862654765332565505326","COFINS":"386.0183364929455801900374316153181687302"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"41.18189029657356752087532392744025338323","rounding_policy":"Decimal40 calculation; UI values HALF_UP cents; no NF-e invoice rounding claim","display":{"price_brl":"5499.00","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"2264.59","modeled_tax_share_percent":"41.18","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0.20","IPI":"0.15"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"2026.570711200691045205873884249928016124","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"1207.837141390728476821192052980132450331","customs_value_brl":"1649.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"3166.714655917074575295133890008638065073","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"5499","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"3166.714655917074575295133890008638065073","supplier_own_ICMS":"570.0086380650734235531241002015548517131","supplier_IPI":"475.0071983875611862942700835012957097610","supplier_PC_base":"2596.706017852001151742009789807083213360","supplier_PIS_debit":"42.84564929455801900374316153181687302044","supplier_COFINS_debit":"197.3496573567520875323927440253383242154","IVA_applied":"0.51","presumed_ST_base":"5498.999999999999999999999999999999999999","ICMS_ST":"419.8113619349265764468758997984451482867","retailer_acquisition_cash":"4061.533216239562338036279873308378923121","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"5079.188638065073423553124100201554851713","retailer_PC_credit_base":"2596.706017852001151742009789807083213360","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"2470.425750","import_ICMS_gross_base":"3012.714329268292682926829268292682926829","import_payments":{"II":"329.9400","IPI":"296.946000","PIS":"34.64370","COFINS":"159.196050","ICMS":"542.2885792682926829268292682926829268293"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"296.946000","PIS":"34.64370","COFINS":"159.196050","ICMS":"542.2885792682926829268292682926829268293"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"178.0611983875611862942700835012957097610","PIS":"8.20194929455801900374316153181687302044","COFINS":"38.1536073567520875323927440253383242154","ICMS":"447.5314207317073170731707317073170731705"},"retailer_debits":{"PIS":"83.80661252807371148862654765332565505326","COFINS":"386.0183364929455801900374316153181687302","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"PIS":"42.84564929455801900374316153181687302044","COFINS":"197.3496573567520875323927440253383242154","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"PIS":"40.96096323351569248488338612150878203282","COFINS":"188.6686791361934926576446875899798445148","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000001"},"assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"source_ids":["V4-P033","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."]},{"engine_version":"0.3.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T013-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T013","tax_profile_id":"T10","date":"2026-09-12","state":"SP","mode":"educational","publication_label":"Estimativa didática — cenário representativo de São Paulo","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":["II"],"price_brl":"4915.422592732403657620347803778563705997","reference_price_brl":"5499","savings_vs_reference_brl":"583.577407267596342379652196221436294003","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.407852591419522027065937230060466455","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1681.014740140984135593281866548503239542","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"0.00","IPI":"408.5004457167286928453686523382237484628","ICMS":"851.2332287845192501511791977423906470467","PIS":"75.14743333033132084157958131589368569226","COFINS":"346.1336323094048717551544351519951583401"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"34.19878369413066718792909356714146672712","rounding_policy":"Decimal40 calculation; UI values HALF_UP cents; no NF-e invoice rounding claim","display":{"price_brl":"4915.42","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1681.01","modeled_tax_share_percent":"34.20","savings_vs_reference_brl":"583.58"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0","IPI":"0.15"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"2026.570711200691045205873884249928016124","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"1207.837141390728476821192052980132450331","customs_value_brl":"1649.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"3166.714655917074575295133890008638065073","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"5499","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"2723.336304778191285635791015588158323085","supplier_own_ICMS":"490.2005348600744314144423828058684981553","supplier_IPI":"408.5004457167286928453686523382237484628","supplier_PC_base":"2233.135769918116854221348632782289824930","supplier_PIS_debit":"36.84674020364892809465225244090778211134","supplier_COFINS_debit":"169.7183185137768809208224960914540266947","IVA_applied":"0.51","presumed_ST_base":"4729.073493247329167506551098568836928037","ICMS_ST":"361.0326939244448187367368149365221488914","retailer_acquisition_cash":"3492.869444419364797217896482862904220439","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"4554.389898807958838883610988842041557106","retailer_PC_credit_base":"2233.135769918116854221348632782289824930","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"2090.994750","import_ICMS_gross_base":"2549.993597560975609756097560975609756098","import_payments":{"II":"0.00","IPI":"247.4550","PIS":"34.64370","COFINS":"159.196050","ICMS":"458.9988475609756097560975609756097560976"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"247.4550","PIS":"34.64370","COFINS":"159.196050","ICMS":"458.9988475609756097560975609756097560976"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"161.0454457167286928453686523382237484628","PIS":"2.20304020364892809465225244090778211134","COFINS":"10.5222685137768809208224960914540266947","ICMS":"392.2343812235436403950816367667808909491"},"retailer_debits":{"PIS":"75.14743333033132084157958131589368569225","COFINS":"346.1336323094048717551544351519951583401","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"PIS":"36.84674020364892809465225244090778211134","COFINS":"169.7183185137768809208224960914540266947","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"PIS":"38.30069312668239274692732887498590358091","COFINS":"176.4153137956279908343319390605411316454","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000"},"assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"source_ids":["V4-P033","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. The current primary tariff attachment was not retrieved; applicability is not automatically extended to cellular variants.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."]},{"engine_version":"0.3.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-T013-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-T013","tax_profile_id":"T10","date":"2026-09-12","state":"SP","mode":"educational","publication_label":"Estimativa didática — cenário representativo de São Paulo","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":["IPI"],"price_brl":"4846.469133409322923235443194608705170703","reference_price_brl":"5499","savings_vs_reference_brl":"652.530866590677076764556805391294829297","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.407852591419522027065937230060466455","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1612.061280817903401208377257378644704247","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"329.9400","IPI":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"860.7130434782608695652173913043478260868","PIS":"75.17011801193623537418527340784755123946","COFINS":"346.2381193277062962689745926664493269210"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"33.26259254815214738821253511317676380481","rounding_policy":"Decimal40 calculation; UI values HALF_UP cents; no NF-e invoice rounding claim","display":{"price_brl":"4846.47","fixed_residual_brl":"3234.41","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"1612.06","modeled_tax_share_percent":"33.26","savings_vs_reference_brl":"652.53"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.0165","COFINS_UP":"0.076","PIS_RETAIL":"0.0165","COFINS_RETAIL":"0.076","PIS_CREDIT":"0.0165","COFINS_CREDIT":"0.076","PIS_IMPORT":"0.021","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.0965","II":"0.20","IPI":"0"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"2026.570711200691045205873884249928016124","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"1207.837141390728476821192052980132450331","customs_value_brl":"1649.70","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"3166.714655917074575295133890008638065073","baseline_adjusted_IVA":"0.51","calibrated_to_price_brl":"5499","calibration_status":"derived_model_values_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"3166.714655917074575295133890008638065073","supplier_own_ICMS":"570.0086380650734235531241002015548517131","supplier_IPI":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000","supplier_PC_base":"2596.706017852001151742009789807083213360","supplier_PIS_debit":"42.84564929455801900374316153181687302044","supplier_COFINS_debit":"197.3496573567520875323927440253383242154","IVA_applied":"0.51","presumed_ST_base":"4781.739130434782608695652173913043478260","ICMS_ST":"290.7044054131874460120932911027929743737","retailer_acquisition_cash":"3457.419061330262021307227181111431039447","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"4555.764727996135477223349903505912196329","retailer_PC_credit_base":"2596.706017852001151742009789807083213360","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"2173.479750","import_ICMS_gross_base":"2650.585060975609756097560975609756097561","import_payments":{"II":"329.9400","IPI":"0.0000","PIS":"34.64370","COFINS":"159.196050","ICMS":"477.1053109756097560975609756097560975610"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"0.0000","PIS":"34.64370","COFINS":"159.196050","ICMS":"477.1053109756097560975609756097560975610"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000000","PIS":"8.20194929455801900374316153181687302044","COFINS":"38.1536073567520875323927440253383242154","ICMS":"383.6077325026511134676564156945917285258"},"retailer_debits":{"PIS":"75.17011801193623537418527340784755123943","COFINS":"346.2381193277062962689745926664493269210","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"PIS":"42.84564929455801900374316153181687302044","COFINS":"197.3496573567520875323927440253383242154","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"PIS":"32.32446871737821637044211187603067821899","COFINS":"148.8884619709542087365818486411110027056","IPI":"0","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.000000000000000000000000000000000001"},"assumption_ids":["A-CREDITS","A-2026-TEST","A-ORIGIN","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-SP-CHAIN","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-BASELINE-ST","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V4-WATCH"],"source_ids":["V4-P033","V4-P035","V4-S002","V4-S004","S008","S009","S010","S011","S012","S023","V4-S005","E001","E003","V4-S006","V4-S007","V4-S008","V4-S009"],"warnings":["Educational representative estimate, not an actual invoice or prediction of repricing.","The fixed residual may contain unallocated upstream taxes, fees, costs and margins.","Watch II uses a qualified 20% exception-layer lookup. 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