{"scenario":{"scenario_id":"EDU-BR-D003-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-D003","tax_profile_id":"D03","ncm":"2202.99.00","state":"SP","date":"2026-09-14","mode":"educational","path":"cold_beverage_pmpf","origin_scenario":"Representative finished commercial import into SP, then SP retail resale; no preferential origin claimed.","imported":true,"zfm_qualified":false,"reference_price_brl":"8.99","price_source_id":"V6-P013","price_date":"2026-09-14","full_credit_realization":true,"cbs_ibs_2026_cash_dispensation":true,"customs_fraction":"0.30","rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","IPI":"0.0195","II":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.01860176","COFINS_UP":"0.08540796","PIS_RETAIL":"0","COFINS_RETAIL":"0","PIS_CREDIT":"0","COFINS_CREDIT":"0","PIS_IMPORT":"0.0331","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.1526","COFINS_IMPORT_ADDITIONAL":"0","ICMS_SUPPLIER_PRESUMED_CREDIT":"0","FECOEP":"0","IPI_IMPORT":"0.026"},"rate_rule_ids":{"ICMS":"R-SP-ICMS-18","ICMS_OWN":"R-SP-ICMS-18","IPI":"R-V6-IPI-COLD-RETAIL","II":"R-V6-II-ENERGY18","PIS_UP":"R-V6-PIS-COLD-UP","COFINS_UP":"R-V6-COFINS-COLD-UP","PIS_RETAIL":"R-V6-PIS-ZERO-RETAIL","COFINS_RETAIL":"R-V6-COFINS-ZERO-RETAIL","PIS_CREDIT":"R-V6-PIS-NO-RETAIL-CREDIT","COFINS_CREDIT":"R-V6-COFINS-NO-RETAIL-CREDIT","PIS_IMPORT":"R-V6-PIS-COLD-IMPORT","COFINS_IMPORT":"R-V6-COFINS-COLD-IMPORT","COFINS_IMPORT_ADDITIONAL":"R-V5-COFINS-EXTRA-NA","ICMS_SUPPLIER_PRESUMED_CREDIT":"R-V6-NO-MILK-GRANT","FECOEP":"R-V6-FECOEP-NA","IPI_IMPORT":"R-V6-IPI-COLD-RAW","ST_BASE":"R-V6-BEVERAGE-PMPF","MINIMUM":"R-V6-BEVERAGE-FLOORS"},"rate_evidence":{"ICMS":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","ICMS_OWN":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","IPI":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","II":"qualified_secondary_lookup","PIS_UP":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","COFINS_UP":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","PIS_RETAIL":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","COFINS_RETAIL":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","PIS_CREDIT":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","COFINS_CREDIT":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","PIS_IMPORT":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","COFINS_IMPORT":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","COFINS_IMPORT_ADDITIONAL":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","ICMS_SUPPLIER_PRESUMED_CREDIT":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","FECOEP":"sourced_selected_coefficient_or_scope","IPI_IMPORT":"Sourced raw import IPI coefficient; it does not inherit the domestic qualified-retailer reduction."},"IVA_original":null,"IVA_adjusted":false,"ST_policy":"fixed_PMPF","ST_reference_price_brl":"10.76","retailer_margin_fraction":"0.10","retailer_IPI_credit":false,"retailer_PC_credit_IPI_policy":"exclude_IPI_administrative","contribution_regime":"cold_beverage_retail_zero","calibration_policy":"fixed_retailer_residual_and_prescribed_base","assumption_ids":["A-2026-TEST","A-CREDITS","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V6-CHAIN","A-V6-COLD-QUALIFICATION","A-V6-MARGIN","A-V6-PMPF","A-V6-PRICES"],"source_ids":["S012","V5-S010","V6-P013","V6-S-COLD-DEC","V6-S-COLD-LAW","V6-S-FOOD-PC","V6-S-II-ENERGY-1","V6-S-II-ENERGY-2","V6-S-MILK","V6-S-PHARMA","V6-S-PMPF","V6-S-SP-RATES","V6-S-TARIFF-GATE","V6-S-TIPI"],"warnings":["Educational representative supply chain, not the tax bill on a particular purchase.","The fixed residual can contain unmodeled upstream taxes and expenses; it is not a wholly tax-free production cost.","The saved price is a dated retail reference, not a live checkout or availability guarantee.","PMPF is a statutory brand/pack reference, not the observed retail price. It remains fixed during toggles; the 90% guard rejects unsupported fallback cases.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."],"confidence":"MEDIUM","educational_ready":true,"actual_sale_verified":false,"education_use_allowed":true,"calculation_boundary":"Supplier/importer → retailer; selected debits, credits and grants only. No upstream supplier reconstruction, actual-invoice claim, clinical advice or consumption recommendation.","expected_effective_to":"2026-12-31","qualified_retailer_75pct":true,"beverage_control_equipment_qualified":true,"volume_litres":"0.250","minimum_brl_per_litre":{"IPI":"0.1904","PIS":"0.1104","COFINS":"0.5084"},"minimum_lookup_key":"energy_can_lte350ml","PMPF_lookup_key":"red_bull_original_can_250ml","PMPF_row_locator":"AnnexII2.116","PMPF_90pct_policy":"reject_if_threshold_reached","calibrated":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"4.90056117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"0.8990","customs_value_brl":"2.6970","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"7.3307921381774865991661703394877903513996426444","calibrated_to_price_brl":"8.99","calibration_status":"derived_representative_not_observed_invoices"}},"assumption_override":{"assumptionId":"A-CUSTOMS-35","parameter":"customs_fraction","value":"0.30","basis":"package_sensitivity","baselineScenarioId":"EDU-BR-D003"},"sensitivity_fixture":{"product_id":"BR-D003","parameter":"customs_fraction","value":"0.30","method":"Separate calibration against unchanged reference price; not probability bounds, not tax removal.","status":"feasible","result":{"price_brl":"8.99","fixed_residual_brl":"5.80","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"3.19","modeled_tax_share_percent":"35.49","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00"},"dimension":"customs_fraction"},"baseline_warnings":["Educational representative supply chain, not the tax bill on a particular purchase.","The fixed residual can contain unmodeled upstream taxes and expenses; it is not a wholly tax-free production cost.","The saved price is a dated retail reference, not a live checkout or availability guarantee.","PMPF is a statutory brand/pack reference, not the observed retail price. It remains fixed during toggles; the 90% guard rejects unsupported fallback cases.","The 35% customs-value fraction is a declared convention, not an observed average. Applied II uses qualified secondary evidence; the current primary tariff attachment was not read."],"toggle_cases":[{"engine_version":"0.6.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-D003-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-D003","tax_profile_id":"D03","date":"2026-09-14","state":"SP","mode":"educational","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":[],"price_brl":"8.98999999999999999999999999999999999999999999998","reference_price_brl":"8.99","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000002","fixed_residual_brl":"5.79956117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"3.19043882958389517569982132221560452650387135200","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"0.485460","IPI":"0.142950446694460988683740321620011911852293031566","ICMS":"1.93680000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","PIS":"0.111819821490696843359142346634901727218582489577","COFINS":"0.513408561398737343656938653960690887432995830850"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"35.4887522756829274271392805585717967353044644272","display":{"price_brl":"8.99","fixed_residual_brl":"5.80","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"3.19","modeled_tax_share_percent":"35.49","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.00"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","IPI":"0.0195","II":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.01860176","COFINS_UP":"0.08540796","PIS_RETAIL":"0","COFINS_RETAIL":"0","PIS_CREDIT":"0","COFINS_CREDIT":"0","PIS_IMPORT":"0.0331","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.1526","COFINS_IMPORT_ADDITIONAL":"0","ICMS_SUPPLIER_PRESUMED_CREDIT":"0","FECOEP":"0","IPI_IMPORT":"0.026"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"4.90056117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"0.8990","customs_value_brl":"2.6970","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"7.3307921381774865991661703394877903513996426444","calibrated_to_price_brl":"8.99","calibration_status":"derived_representative_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"7.3307921381774865991661703394877903513996426444","supplier_own_ICMS":"1.31954258487194758784991066110780226325193567599","supplier_presumed_ICMS_credit":"0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","supplier_IPI":"0.142950446694460988683740321620011911852293031566","supplier_PC_base":"6.01124955330553901131625967837998808814770696841","supplier_PIS_debit":"0.111819821490696843359142346634901727218582489577","supplier_COFINS_debit":"0.513408561398737343656938653960690887432995830850","minimum_amounts":{"IPI":"0.0476000","PIS":"0.0276000","COFINS":"0.1271000"},"IVA_applied":"0","presumed_ST_base":"10.76","ICMS_ST":"0.61725741512805241215008933889219773674806432401","FECOEP_ST":"0.00","retailer_acquisition_cash":"8.09099999999999999999999999999999999999999999998","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"8.37274258487194758784991066110780226325193567597","retailer_PC_credit_base":"6.01124955330553901131625967837998808814770696841","noncreditable_import_COFINS":"0.0000","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"3.766036860","import_ICMS_gross_base":"4.59272787804878048780487804878048780487804878049","import_payments":{"II":"0.485460","IPI":"0.082743960","PIS":"0.08927070","COFINS":"0.41156220","ICMS":"0.826691018048780487804878048780487804878048780488"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"0.082743960","PIS":"0.08927070","COFINS":"0.41156220","ICMS":"0.826691018048780487804878048780487804878048780488"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0.060206486694460988683740321620011911852293031566","PIS":"0.022549121490696843359142346634901727218582489577","COFINS":"0.101846361398737343656938653960690887432995830850","ICMS":"1.11010898195121951219512195121951219512195121951"},"retailer_debits":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000"},"assumption_ids":["A-2026-TEST","A-CREDITS","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V6-CHAIN","A-V6-COLD-QUALIFICATION","A-V6-MARGIN","A-V6-PMPF","A-V6-PRICES"],"source_ids":["S012","V5-S010","V6-P013","V6-S-COLD-DEC","V6-S-COLD-LAW","V6-S-FOOD-PC","V6-S-II-ENERGY-1","V6-S-II-ENERGY-2","V6-S-MILK","V6-S-PHARMA","V6-S-PMPF","V6-S-SP-RATES","V6-S-TARIFF-GATE","V6-S-TIPI"],"warnings":["Educational representative supply chain, not the tax bill on a particular purchase.","The fixed residual can contain unmodeled upstream taxes and expenses; it is not a wholly tax-free production cost.","The saved price is a dated retail reference, not a live checkout or availability guarantee.","PMPF is a statutory brand/pack reference, not the observed retail price. It remains fixed during toggles; the 90% guard rejects unsupported fallback cases.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."]},{"engine_version":"0.6.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-D003-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-D003","tax_profile_id":"D03","date":"2026-09-14","state":"SP","mode":"educational","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":["II"],"price_brl":"8.43530148741149725691111781954141560444650163378","reference_price_brl":"8.99","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.55469851258850274308888218045858439555349836622","fixed_residual_brl":"5.79956117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"2.63574031699539243261093914175702013095037298580","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"0","IPI":"0.130065847533679805252849073830920314814421419725","ICMS":"1.93680000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","PIS":"0.101741129108453589559558717223207662858866444443","COFINS":"0.467133340353259037798531350702892153277085121639"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"31.2465454960781742004747034751869198092506018886","display":{"price_brl":"8.44","fixed_residual_brl":"5.80","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"2.64","modeled_tax_share_percent":"31.25","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.55"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","IPI":"0.0195","II":"0","PIS_UP":"0.01860176","COFINS_UP":"0.08540796","PIS_RETAIL":"0","COFINS_RETAIL":"0","PIS_CREDIT":"0","COFINS_CREDIT":"0","PIS_IMPORT":"0.0331","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.1526","COFINS_IMPORT_ADDITIONAL":"0","ICMS_SUPPLIER_PRESUMED_CREDIT":"0","FECOEP":"0","IPI_IMPORT":"0.026"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"4.90056117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"0.8990","customs_value_brl":"2.6970","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"7.3307921381774865991661703394877903513996426444","calibrated_to_price_brl":"8.99","calibration_status":"derived_representative_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"6.6700434632656310386076448118420674263805856269","supplier_own_ICMS":"1.20060782338781358694937606613157213674850541284","supplier_presumed_ICMS_credit":"0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","supplier_IPI":"0.130065847533679805252849073830920314814421419725","supplier_PC_base":"5.46943563987781745165826874571049528963208021406","supplier_PIS_debit":"0.101741129108453589559558717223207662858866444443","supplier_COFINS_debit":"0.467133340353259037798531350702892153277085121639","minimum_amounts":{"IPI":"0.0476000","PIS":"0.0276000","COFINS":"0.1271000"},"IVA_applied":"0","presumed_ST_base":"10.76","ICMS_ST":"0.73619217661218641305062393386842786325149458716","FECOEP_ST":"0.00","retailer_acquisition_cash":"7.53630148741149725691111781954141560444650163378","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"7.69910931079931084386049388567298774119500704662","retailer_PC_credit_base":"5.46943563987781745165826874571049528963208021406","noncreditable_import_COFINS":"0.0000","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"3.26795490","import_ICMS_gross_base":"3.98531085365853658536585365853658536585365853659","import_payments":{"II":"0.0000","IPI":"0.0701220","PIS":"0.08927070","COFINS":"0.41156220","ICMS":"0.717355953658536585365853658536585365853658536585"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"0.0701220","PIS":"0.08927070","COFINS":"0.41156220","ICMS":"0.717355953658536585365853658536585365853658536585"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0.059943847533679805252849073830920314814421419725","PIS":"0.012470429108453589559558717223207662858866444443","COFINS":"0.055571140353259037798531350702892153277085121639","ICMS":"1.21944404634146341463414634146341463414634146342"},"retailer_debits":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000"},"assumption_ids":["A-2026-TEST","A-CREDITS","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V6-CHAIN","A-V6-COLD-QUALIFICATION","A-V6-MARGIN","A-V6-PMPF","A-V6-PRICES"],"source_ids":["S012","V5-S010","V6-P013","V6-S-COLD-DEC","V6-S-COLD-LAW","V6-S-FOOD-PC","V6-S-II-ENERGY-1","V6-S-II-ENERGY-2","V6-S-MILK","V6-S-PHARMA","V6-S-PMPF","V6-S-SP-RATES","V6-S-TARIFF-GATE","V6-S-TIPI"],"warnings":["Educational representative supply chain, not the tax bill on a particular purchase.","The fixed residual can contain unmodeled upstream taxes and expenses; it is not a wholly tax-free production cost.","The saved price is a dated retail reference, not a live checkout or availability guarantee.","PMPF is a statutory brand/pack reference, not the observed retail price. It remains fixed during toggles; the 90% guard rejects unsupported fallback cases.","Customs fraction 0.30 overrides the baseline A-CUSTOMS-35 assumption for this separate calibration; not an observed customs value."]},{"engine_version":"0.6.0","scenario_id":"EDU-BR-D003-CUSTOMS-0_30","product_id":"BR-D003","tax_profile_id":"D03","date":"2026-09-14","state":"SP","mode":"educational","actual_sale_verified":false,"disabled_families":["IPI"],"price_brl":"8.84704955330553901131625967837998808814770696841","reference_price_brl":"8.99","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.14295044669446098868374032162001191185229303159","fixed_residual_brl":"5.79956117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"3.04748838288943418701608100059559261465157832043","modeled_net_tax_components_brl":{"II":"0.485460","IPI":"0","ICMS":"1.93680000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","PIS":"0.111819821490696843359142346634901727218582489577","COFINS":"0.513408561398737343656938653960690887432995830850"},"modeled_tax_share_percent":"34.4463808473955662441027943336307891234128171810","display":{"price_brl":"8.85","fixed_residual_brl":"5.80","modeled_net_tax_total_brl":"3.05","modeled_tax_share_percent":"34.45","savings_vs_reference_brl":"0.14"},"effective_rates":{"ICMS":"0.18","ICMS_OWN":"0.18","IPI":"0","II":"0.18","PIS_UP":"0.01860176","COFINS_UP":"0.08540796","PIS_RETAIL":"0","COFINS_RETAIL":"0","PIS_CREDIT":"0","COFINS_CREDIT":"0","PIS_IMPORT":"0.0331","COFINS_IMPORT":"0.1526","COFINS_IMPORT_ADDITIONAL":"0","ICMS_SUPPLIER_PRESUMED_CREDIT":"0","FECOEP":"0","IPI_IMPORT":"0"},"trace":{"fixed_calibration":{"upstream_fixed_residual_brl":"4.90056117041610482430017867778439547349612864798","retailer_fixed_residual_brl":"0.8990","customs_value_brl":"2.6970","baseline_upstream_price_ex_IPI_ST_brl":"7.3307921381774865991661703394877903513996426444","calibrated_to_price_brl":"8.99","calibration_status":"derived_representative_not_observed_invoices"},"supplier_price_ex_IPI_ST":"7.3307921381774865991661703394877903513996426444","supplier_own_ICMS":"1.31954258487194758784991066110780226325193567599","supplier_presumed_ICMS_credit":"0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","supplier_IPI":"0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","supplier_PC_base":"6.01124955330553901131625967837998808814770696841","supplier_PIS_debit":"0.111819821490696843359142346634901727218582489577","supplier_COFINS_debit":"0.513408561398737343656938653960690887432995830850","minimum_amounts":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.0276000","COFINS":"0.1271000"},"IVA_applied":"0","presumed_ST_base":"10.76","ICMS_ST":"0.61725741512805241215008933889219773674806432401","FECOEP_ST":"0.00","retailer_acquisition_cash":"7.94804955330553901131625967837998808814770696841","retailer_PC_revenue_base":"8.22979213817748659916617033948779035139964264440","retailer_PC_credit_base":"6.01124955330553901131625967837998808814770696841","noncreditable_import_COFINS":"0.0000","import_ICMS_base_before_grossup":"3.68329290","import_ICMS_gross_base":"4.49182060975609756097560975609756097560975609756","import_payments":{"II":"0.485460","IPI":"0.000000","PIS":"0.08927070","COFINS":"0.41156220","ICMS":"0.808527709756097560975609756097560975609756097561"},"eligible_import_credits":{"IPI":"0.000000","PIS":"0.08927070","COFINS":"0.41156220","ICMS":"0.808527709756097560975609756097560975609756097561"},"supplier_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","PIS":"0.022549121490696843359142346634901727218582489577","COFINS":"0.101846361398737343656938653960690887432995830850","ICMS":"1.12827229024390243902439024390243902439024390244"},"retailer_debits":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_credits":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"retailer_net_remittance_or_credit":{"IPI":"0","PIS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","COFINS":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","ICMS":"0"},"price_reconciliation_error":"0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000"},"assumption_ids":["A-2026-TEST","A-CREDITS","A-CUSTOMS-35","A-FEES-BOUNDARY","A-RETAIL-CREDITS","A-V6-CHAIN","A-V6-COLD-QUALIFICATION","A-V6-MARGIN","A-V6-PMPF","A-V6-PRICES"],"source_ids":["S012","V5-S010","V6-P013","V6-S-COLD-DEC","V6-S-COLD-LAW","V6-S-FOOD-PC","V6-S-II-ENERGY-1","V6-S-II-ENERGY-2","V6-S-MILK","V6-S-PHARMA","V6-S-PMPF","V6-S-SP-RATES","V6-S-TARIFF-GATE","V6-S-TIPI"],"warnings":["Educational representative supply chain, not the tax bill on a particular purchase.","The fixed residual can contain unmodeled upstream taxes and expenses; it is not a wholly tax-free production cost.","The saved price is a dated retail reference, not a live checkout or availability guarantee.","PMPF is a statutory brand/pack reference, not the observed retail price. 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